Chemoradiotherapy (CRT) as definitive treatment has become a standard management option for many patients with head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), in order to improve the patient’s quality of life via organ preservation. However, the disease control achieved with CRT remains heterogeneous because the treatment responses and clinical outcomes may differ among patients whose clinical staging and treatment method are the same. Therefore, if a reliable indicator of response to CRT before or at an early stage of treatment could be found, it would have great clinical significance. In previous clinical studies evaluating the use of DWI to predict treatment response to CRT in HNSCC, 2 ADC parameters — namely, pretreatment ADC and the change in ADC during or shortly after treatment — have been shown to be useful. However, the optimal timing for evaluation of DWI and ADC analysis methods for predicting the treatment response has not been established. We evaluated whether the fractional change in ADC (ΔADC) at 3 weeks of treatment for each primary tumor and metastatic node can be used as a valid imaging biomarker for prediction of treatment response.
A threshold ΔADCprimary of 0.24 revealed a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 78.7%, and overall accuracy of 84.8% for the prediction of locoregional control (LRC). Progression-free survival of the 2 groups divided by ΔADCprimary at 0.24 showed a significant difference. Therefore, the ΔADCprimary at 3 weeks of treatment is a valid predictive clinical factor showing a significant association with LRC and survival. In addition, it was thought that ΔADCprimary may help to avoid ineffective treatment and unnecessary toxicity, allowing chemoradiotherapy to be selectively used for appropriate patients.